Tropical Depression Nicole dropping rain on NC, threat for isolated tornadoes

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Tropical Depression Nicole on Friday will move right across North Carolina, dropping rain across the state.

Tropical Depression Nicole path

Nicole’s track has shifted west, and it will move though the N.C. mountains as a tropical depression throughout Friday.

Heavy rain, isolated tornadoes in NC

Much of the state is under a Level 2 risk for severe weather on Friday, when heavy rain is expected in our area.

Level 2 risk for severe weather Nov. 11, 2022

According to WRAL meteorologist Aimee Wilmoth, it won’t rain all day, we’ll see heavy bands of rain move through all the way into Friday night.

“Within the bands, we could have wind gusts up to 35 mph and isolated tornadoes,” Wilmoth said. “These are typically weak, short-lived tornadoes in tropical systems. We will have several lulls between rain bands. This is not an all-day rain event, and our flood risk is pretty low.”

The bulk of the rain will fall in waves on Friday. Saturday will be mostly dry.

Winds will be strong, but not likely to cause significant damage in N.C., although there is a threat for some power outages and isolated tornadoes. It is likely our area could go under a tornado watch, WRAL meteorologist Elizabeth Gardner said.

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The latest models forecast wind gusts of up to 40 mph in the Triangle and up to 2 inches of rain, which is not expected to cause flooding. Wilmoth expects 1.5 inches in the Triangle.

Gusty winds, isolated tornadoes, power outages and downpours will be possible.

The Triangle area should expect to see sustained winds of 15 to 20 mph on Friday, with some gusts up to 35 to 40 mph Friday evening. Isolated and brief tornadoes are possible. Heavy rain is expected as bands move through the Triangle.

“The mountains are likely to see the heaviest rain from this system,” Gardner said, between 3 and 4 inches, and flash flooding and mudslides will be possible.

The coastal forecast is similar to central N.C., with up to 2 inches of rain and isolated tornadoes possible.

WRAL meteorologist Peta Sheerwood said models are suggesting Nicole will move out quickly and earlier on Friday, clearing by midnight.

NC preps for Nicole’s impact

More than 20 flights were canceled Thursday morning at Raleigh-Durham International Airport, most out of Orlando and Tampa. Many airports in Florida suspended flights before Nicole made landfall as a hurricane. On Friday morning, only five flights were canceled at RDU, a fairly typical number.

In the Triangle, officials are preparing for remnants of the storm to hit the Carolinas.

The Red Cross of Eastern North Carolina has volunteers and staff once again providing food, shelter and comfort for Floridians. They have sent several waves of volunteers to help with recovery, and another wave of volunteers will go this weekend for continued support.

Nicole is only the fourth hurricane ever recorded to hit the U.S. in the month of November.

Futurecast wind gusts on Friday, Nov. 11, 2022

Hurricane season officially extends through Nov. 30, although storms like this are more likely in September and October. Only four hurricanes have made landfall in the United States in the month of November since 1851.